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Comprehensive Preparation/Response Paradigm For Natural Disasters, Terrorism, Accidents

Global Crisis Response System (GCRS)
Dr. J. Morgan Thomas

 

About:  A paradigm for development of a basic emergency, terrorism, accident, natural disaster or catastrophe contingency response system towards planning capability, preparedness, security enhancement, effect reduction, and mission completion.

 

Includes:  Listing of principles, strategies, and stages in the preparation and response paradigm. Highlights major segments of the system, some of which are often minimized or overlooked, and identifies major issues without fully outlining each segment.

 

Index

   Basic Principles

1.  Identification

2.  Early warning

3.  Prevention 

4.  Preparation

5.  Response

6.  Interim stabilization

7.  Rehabilitation

8.  Reconstruction

9.  Analysis 

 

 

 We invite any contributions, comments or corrections.

 See end of document for related pages on this site

 

Introduction:  Each part is equally important in a security system or catastrophic event preparation and response sequence. Neglect of one or more major factors is one of the major problems in effective system development.  If a system is perfect in its material and operation, but the human or environmental

factors are ignored, the system is fundamentally flawed. Environmental or human

factors may in the end be found to be more disastrous to the survival of the system

than any mechanical or material provision or capability.

 

Basic Principles in Preparation and Response to Crisis

 

Primary:  Never assume that any part of the safety structure can be ignored or left uncompleted. Being caught unprepared will be far costlier than the cost of any preparation or response.

 

preparation:                            1.   Prepare for any and all contingencies.

 

communicate:                         2. assure communication efficiency and availability at all times and

                                                     be capable of communication with all levels at all

                                                     times for updating and situation assessment.

 

separation of authority          3  always separate tasks and delegate authority to

                                                     ensure full preparation of all stages.

 

authority defined                   4  always have responsibilities and lines of authority

                                                     and communication well defined and agreed

                                                     upon.

 

never favor or repayment     5  always match positions for skill and knowledge,

                                                    never as privilege, flavor or repayment.

 

involve many                         6  involve other  institutions, groups, governments.

                                                   Never carry all of the burden alone.

 

smooth out problems            7  iron out problems in communication between departments

                                                     or agency conflicts  before having to depend on this   

                                                     communication when decisions and  action  must be taken.

 

expertise availability            8  know who can be called upon and how to access in order to

                                                     provide expertise in any area to be affected.   

 

constant updating                 9  constantly update all individuals with new technologies,

                                                     procedures, threats and changes in organizational structure,

                                                     rules and expectations.

 

maximum flexibility            10 do not let predetermined decisions outweigh the situation on the

                                                     ground. Always be open to new possibilities based on changed

                                                     circumstances or a better way of approaching the problem.

 

independent analysis          11 constantly monitor and assess ongoing operations  and provide

                                                     for independent analysis of all stages of the system before,

                                                     during and after preparation and response.

 

distributed for immediacy  12 always have more than enough material and transport

                                                     immediately ready and always provide for distributed storage of

                                                     all materials, transport for immediate access.

 

backups and alternatives   13  provide for backups and alternative plans for all operational

                                                     segments.

 

safeguard and protect        14  always safeguard civil liberties, human decency, basic rights

                                                     and adhere to international conventions.

 

Segments of  a Comprehensive Preparation and Response System

 

  1.   identification

  2.   early warning

  3.   prevention

  4.   preparation

  5.   response

  6.   interim stabilization

          stabilization

          emergency support

          mop-up

          interim authority

  7.   rehabilitation

  8.   reconstruction

  9.   analysis 

 

       Note: Sub items below are not all inclusive but suggestive of type of

                 operations and special areas of concern under each title

 

IDENTIFICATION

   critical first stage in the development of any system.  It is the assessment and             

        understanding phase which allows the successful implementation of the

        prevention, preparation and response phases.

 

   ten stages

   1  event analysis

       separation of all types of events - each has its own time line, effects, and

         countermeasures

       specification of different types of sub events or processes

       causative factors

       determination of significant features of each sub event

       cross referencing of similar features which can be used across events

   2  modeling of event

       modeling of stages of events and sub processes

       assessment of timing and sequence

       assessment of interaction of elements

       identification of all accompanying occurrences

       highlighting of vulnerabilities of system and ways to strengthen

   3  identification of population, social structure, material, environment affected, how

          affected, and zones of danger/damage

   4  identification of historical reoccurrence, responses to the event or attending events,

          and effects and reasons for successes and  failures

   5   scenario development, computerized, field exercise and simulation of all possible events

          and response modes including accompanying occurrences, side effects, feedback

          mechanisms

   6   countermeasures

        identification of  direct and indirect countermeasures, materials and application

           techniques, and effects of each.

   7  funding

       assessment of funding needed to fulfill each stage of system development

       identification of different resources from which to obtain help including private, nonprofit,

       local, state and federal levels and how to obtain

   8  laws and regulations

       determination of legal structure needed at all governmental levels for procurement,

         expropriations, rights of way, funding, etc. to support all possible operations.

       It is often too late to develop or pass legislation, gain permits, etc. which will

       delegate the requisite authority and scope of duties under the pressure of the event.

 

EARLY WARNING SYSTEM

   Usually seen as part of prevention but often side lined and not developed to its fullest  

   potential. The warning system it not only used in warning of immanent events but also

   operates during the response and subsequent stages to warn of possible side effects,        

   unexpected or unplanned for reactions, and buildup/lack of processes or materials which

   need special attention. This is actually the nerve center of each stage of the system,

   although the warning system is constituted differently for each stage.

 

   This part of the security system contains at a minimum, the following items:

   1.  identification of those occurrences or early warning signs which precede an event

   2.  development and updating of effective communication system

   3.  constant upgrading of system with new technologies

   4.  components of warning system and timing of surveillance including

           detection equipment for radiation and bio/chemical agents where possibly involved

   5.  development of a constant surveillance system

   6.  efficient warning mechanisms

   7.  system of periodic checks as to validity and impermeability of system

   8.  test of effectiveness of communications and preparedness of response to alerts

   9.  development of warning signals for "after shocks", sub events or processes  within

          each stage

 10.  backup and alternatives if warning system breaks down or encounters unforeseen  problems

 11.  analysis of  warning signs and decision structure

 12.  types of intervention and scheduling for repair or replacement

 13.    development of standby status and procedures while repair or replacement activated

 14.  chain of alert status and procedures

              scheduling of personnel

              analysis of early warning signs

              procedures at each stage  

 15.  use of simulations and games to occasionally test the response

          of the system to a crisis and to test the lines of communication

 16.  development of legislation, permits, land, air, water use concerning installation,

          support and use

 17.  development of increased prediction of events or inner phase occurrences

 18.  constant analysis of operation and success and failure of system after each event or sub event.

 

 

PREVENTION OF EVENT

 

Prevention operates at all stages

 

   prevention of event itself or mitigation of force and action to decrease or

      eliminate the event, portions of event, or side effects

   assessment of possibilities and capabilities for prevention

   alternative means of prevention, removal or transference, elimination, channeling, diversion,

      break up, strengthening, counter force, localization, etc.

   timely action to institute preventive action

   prevention of all possible deleterious effects of event or sub events

   development of scenarios and simulations to assess the effectiveness of preventive action

 

PREPARATION

   Prevention of the event itself or any of its side effects does not lessen the need

   for preparation for response.

  

   All the structures needed must be developed here. There will be little time in the response

   and rehabilitation stages to develop these. Anything not developed will cost time in indecision

   and confusion which may not be correctable within the given time frame

 

   1. command, control and management

   2. strategy and overall planning

   3. material and support

   4. communication

   5. education

   6. knowledge base

   7. monitoring assessment

   8  analysis

   9. statutes, licenses, rules, permissions

 

   1. command, control and management

       In the event of emergency, everyone must know what to do, who to report to,

       and the general command structure.  However, flexibility must be built into the

       whole system. Any rigidity in the system at any point may lead to failure

       even in the accomplishment of the simplest tasks.

 

       Most important is the need to lessen social, cultural and historical pressures

       operating within the organization which might create conflict or ineffectiveness of  

       operations in preparation or response.  Individuals having conflicting roles to play or an

       inability to work successfully with each other or within the overall confines of the

       system may be the determining cause of an accident or breakdown.

 

       structure

          development of  chain of command

          centralized planning

          centralization of authority, planning, communication, analysis

          changes in chains of command in all possible scenarios

          development of a center for administration and communication and analysis

          ability to effectively and efficiently centralize and control preparation, response,

            containment and reconstruction

          be sure that inter group or inter agency cooperation is assured at all levels

             and at all times

          have clear lines of responsibility and authority in place and agreed on by all

             involved at every level

          clarification between preparation and  response structures

       functions and specific roles

          division of responsibility

          functions delineated

          accountability

          types and modes of supervision for each stage of the system

              including backup systems

          prevention of duplication of effort

       communication

          see communication in box

       administrative procedures

          rules of behavior

          personnel functions

          training, refresher courses, incentives

          development of forms

          development of efficient reporting procedures

          analysis

          rules for replacement

       extra system support

         initiation of fund raising and the accumulation of sources and funds necessary to carry out 

             the preparation and response

          development of extra system support which can be called upon in an emergency

       planning

          scheduling of administrative phases

       timetable

          timetable of procurement of materials and arranging of personnel for each type of

          phase/event

       enforcement, legal and appeal structure

          initiation of the legal structure needed and the passing of laws, institution of rules

            needed to provide legal structure for each element of the preparation and response

            structure

          legislation of laws, obtaining of permits, rights of way, etc. covering area involved,

            materials involved in the prevention and response, land regulation, provision of types of

            facilities and response

         development of rules and behavior at all levels

       testing through scenarios and simulation and field tests of management techniques,

          centralization and command capability

       independent expert overview

         rules for incorporating outside help, enlistment of personnel

         backup checks on effectiveness of overview system

         external  checks and assessment unencumbered with chain of command

 

   2. strategy and overall planning

       assess what is possible given the available resources and what is needed 

       detail all that has been discovered during the identification stage

       develop overall plan for each stage

       determine all possible scenarios needed and requirements for each

       availability of needed components to respond immediately

       have all materials and supplies stockpiled in strategic places

       updating, installation, training and use of newer methods, materials

       periodic measures to be taken to reinvigorate, replace, check different parts

         of system and system as a whole.

       know the possible risks involved

          keep abreast of the new developments in reduction of risk, capability assessment,

            preparedness, response, aftermath reduction of causalities or system breakdown,

            reconstruction.

       identify and locate all risk areas and provide for containment

       establish multiple means of keeping all members and groups involved in each stage of the

          process informed, up-to-date.

       detailed analysis of risk in each area and the proper

       gain countermeasure support from all levels of government including local councils

       assessment of all of the potential risks of a particular operation or occurrence in the    

         system and the updating of all individuals connected with the event.

       determination of methods and materials needed to protect health, lives, property, environment 

       backup system for each critical function and critical materials

         triggers for initiation

         timing and necessity of initiation of backup systems

         in very high vulnerability or very critical functions, design and provide a double backup

         fix number and type of backup systems for different disruption scenarios

         provision of  production, surveillance and maintenance of  backup

         updating of surveillance and maintenance scheduling

         provide distributed storage and transport for backup system and replacement of all materials

         constant updating of all materials

         planned obsolescence of materials

           existence of newer better versions

           difficulty of getting parts and continued maintenance of replacement and

              normal maintenance parts

       alternatives are different from backups.  Backups are similar in design and function with

         the base system while the primary alternatives are different ways of approaching a problem

         Alternatives are usually part of the system which have possible dual functions. The design

         of any response should include a number of different ways to produce a similar effect 

         - provision of multiple correction or of alternative modes to fix a problem. The user or       

         coordinator of any system should be familiar enough with the fundamental parts to

         effectively utilize alternatives.  Special attention must be given to this both in terms of possible

         material loss and the need for alternatives to accomplish the same task, or in terms of an

         alternative and totally novel way of operating.

 

   3. material and support

       determination of and scheduling of supplies with backup

       develop list of suppliers and reliability

       development of supply lines and transport with backup

       determination of all materials needed

          identify possible causes of breakdown, wear, stress, disruption, weak links, aging, accidental

            change in structural elements or delivery

          initiate provision for and scheduling for testing, surveillance,  maintenance, and replacement

            stockpile at strategic points

       development of personnel supervision, and procedures for supply, materials, maintenance,

            scheduling, acquisition and obsolescence, storage and use

   4. communication

       see communication box

   5. education

       response personnel

         awareness and general knowledge of what to do and how

         development of specific skills needed

         scheduled updating of  procedures

         development of educational series covering each  part which must be

           completed depending on each individuals  position in the system.

         upgrade and ensure readiness through refresher courses and seminars to include new

           technologies, new methods of dealing with system entities,  new ways of prevention.

       public

         television, radio, computer series to help educate and prepare general public with

           regard to events

         development of  general public educational series to be used in lower and middle

            schools to provide an atmosphere of event prevention, awareness and preparedness.

   6. knowledge base

       develop easily accessed and comprehensive base of information on all levels of operation

          and for all materials

       constant updating

       assessable to all personnel depending on function, role, status

   7. analysis, assessment and monitoring

       see analysis box

   8. expertise

       have all expertise readily available and updated

       distribute lists to all relevant personnel and their next in line.

   9. protection of civil rights and dignity of population

       develop set of rules to be followed n every situation

       establish an atmosphere of legality, protection and dignity to assure compliance once response

         mode is under way.

       provide the necessary materials, facilities, personnel and mobility needed to fulfill.

 

     

RESPONSE

   All functions should be simultaneously operational since time is usually a critical factor.

   No operation should be mounted without supply and support functions in place and operational

 

   1.  Initial procedures

        evaluation of event

        evaluation of preparedness

        knowledge and data scan from all available sources

        prioritizing of areas and types of response

        flexibility of response based on need and materials, personnel

   2.  command established - both centralized and distributed

        develop plan of response or attack

   3.